Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.197283 0.220271 0.244151 0.270753 0.299501 0.329576 0.363360
2025-01-19 0.165261 0.196448 0.230338 0.269710 0.313998 0.362081 0.418035
2025-01-26 0.144097 0.180892 0.222452 0.272461 0.330585 0.395592 0.473360
2025-02-02 0.130679 0.172155 0.220611 0.280697 0.352474 0.434736 0.535375
2025-02-09 0.116377 0.160599 0.213949 0.281985 0.365328 0.462974 0.584838
2025-02-16 0.105962 0.152603 0.210538 0.286296 0.381172 0.494476 0.638316
2025-02-23 0.099348 0.148666 0.211535 0.295567 0.402829 0.533030 0.700717
2025-03-02 0.088979 0.138756 0.203990 0.293212 0.409370 0.552742 0.740110
2025-03-09 0.080948 0.131250 0.198902 0.293411 0.418685 0.575648 0.783466
2025-03-16 0.073296 0.123568 0.192934 0.291865 0.425292 0.594885 0.822211
2025-03-23 0.068951 0.120253 0.192623 0.297669 0.441426 0.626344 0.876754
2025-03-30 0.063696 0.115121 0.189350 0.299065 0.451457 0.649862 0.921299
2025-04-06 0.058303 0.109526 0.185316 0.299508 0.460609 0.673002 0.966662
2025-04-13 0.052891 0.103425 0.180119 0.297944 0.466784 0.692176 1.007072
2025-04-20 0.049102 0.099609 0.178046 0.300668 0.478827 0.719279 1.058286
2025-04-27 0.047095 0.098576 0.180096 0.309404 0.499445 0.758252 1.125861
2025-05-04 0.043561 0.094612 0.177310 0.310715 0.509366 0.782689 1.174199
2025-05-11 0.041041 0.092195 0.176786 0.315312 0.524005 0.813748 1.231851
2025-05-18 0.039803 0.091978 0.179744 0.325262 0.546582 0.856118 1.305453
2025-05-25 0.036244 0.087144 0.174829 0.322716 0.550578 0.872453 1.343480
2025-06-01 0.033495 0.083584 0.171800 0.322923 0.558535 0.894359 1.389362
2025-06-08 0.030660 0.079578 0.167747 0.321256 0.563504 0.911964 1.429374
2025-06-15 0.029323 0.078459 0.168605 0.327496 0.580532 0.947012 1.494161